I investigate the contribution of pharmaceutical innovation to recent longevity growth in Germany and France. First, I examine the effect of the vintage of prescription drugs (and other variables) on the life expectancy and age-adjusted mortality rates of residents of Germany, using longitudinal, annual, state-level data during the period 2001–2007. The estimates imply that about one-third of the 1.4-year increase in German life expectancy during the period 2001–2007 was due to the replacement of older drugs by newer drugs. Next, I examine the effect of the vintage of chemotherapy treatments on age-adjusted cancer mortality rates of residents of France, using longitudinal, annual, cancer-site-level data during the period 2002–2006. The estimates imply that chemotherapy innovation accounted for at least one-sixth of the decline in French cancer mortality rates, and may have accounted for as much as half of the decline.
Lichtenberg, Frank. "The contribution of pharmaceutical innovation to longevity growth in Germany and France, 2001–2007." PharmacoEconomics 30, no. 3 (March 2012): 197-211.
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